Saturday, October 6, 2012

Over/under week 5


In week 5 there are 4 teams on bye: Dalls,Detroit, Tampa Bay, and Oakland. With that in mind many of you are left to fill flex spots with waiver wire pickup or bench players. Here are some sits and starts for week 5. This week I will tell who I like and what I predict they will do.Good luck!

Starts:

Ryan Matthews (Over 13 Points): It didn’t take long for Ryan Matthews to get in the dog house in San Diego. But let’s be honest he is there most talented back and faces the NFL’s worst rush defense,The Saints.

Willis McGahee (Over 11 points): His numbers have not been great thus far, but he is coming off a 100 yard performance in week 3. The basis for this call is the game plan. Manning is smart, and will feed McGahee to keep Brady off the field.

Brian Hartline (over 10 Points): He’s still only a flex start to me, but if you have a hole he could be a high risk, high reward fill in. This game is likely to be a shootout due to the simple fact that the Bengals will not be able to establish the run. When Miami throws the ball it goes to either Hartline or Bess, meaning they both are likely to surprise 10 fantasy points.

Malcolm Floyd(Over 10 points)- He’s the number 2 Wide out in a pass first offense. Now he gets the Saints who allow 27 points a game to WR’s. This game will likely be in the 30’s for both teams, and that is good news for Floyd owners.

Eric Decker (Over 10 Points) Very similar to Malcom Floyd. Basically put: Pass first offense + poor pass defense+ shootout=good Flex Start.

 

Bench:

Panthers RB’s( No Panthers RB over 6 points): First off, they are still splitting carries making them a flex start at best. But this week they get the nasty Seahawks defense that allows only 9 points a game to RB’s. Divide that by Newton,Stewart,and Williams, that’s 3 points apiece. No thank you.

Rashard MendenHall (Under 8 points) First off, I’m being cautious coming off an ACL tear. Secondly, this looks like an areal shootout. More importantly, the Eagles allow only 10 points a game to RB’s. I think Mendenhall gets 15 touches tops, making him a very low flex start.

Pierre Garcon (Under 8 points): He’s admitted to not be completely healthy, which lands him directly on my bench. But if that doesn’t persuade you, the Falcons allow only 13 points a game to opposing WR, and there’s a lot of receivers in Washington.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis(Under 8 points)- He’s very pedestrian in the RB ranks and gets a Dolphins run defense that hasn’t allowed a 20 yard run yet this season. It’s going to  be a shootout folks and that doesn’t do much for Green Ellis.

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