Peyton Hillis potential sleeper

What is the true formula to win your fantasy football league? Is it drafting a QB in the first round, or going running back heavy? Both of these could be right! But it has nothing to do with the position they play, it’s about their potential value and perceived value. Ray Rice is outstanding, but if the rest of your picks bomb, you will be picking high again next year. What will make your fantasy team a playoff contender is the success of your late round fliers. Everyone gets a chance at a stud, not everyone can pick the right sleeper. Today’s sleeper is Peyton Hillis.

This year Hillis is being drafted at an ADP of 92. Why so low? I honestly don’t know, because I’m more excited this year than I was last. He’s now on a Chief’s teams that ran the ball 487 times last season! But wait, what about Jamal Charles, he’s a superstar right? Yes, but hardly a work horse as his career high is 230 attempts and that was pre-ACL tear. What can we expect this season? A near 50-50 split, which leaves Hillis with a possible 230 carries and most likely the goal line work.

Now that we know the opportunity is there, is he capable of performing at an elite level? The Chiefs new Offensive Coordinator is Brian Daboll. So why do you care? In 2010, Hillis busted on the scene with 1177 yards and 11 TD’s. Who was his offensive coordinator? You guessed it, Brian Daboll.

Daboll also has a recent rejuvenation on his resume. Last season he was the OC of the Dolphins were Reggie Bush surpassed a 1000 yards for the first time in his career. Also important, is the career average of running teams under Daboll. His last 3 seasons as OC has led to a 4+ yards per carry.

If you’re not convinced yet, give me one more chance! HIllis has 10 games in which he has 20+ carries. In those 10 games he has 1151 yards and 11 TD’s. That’s an average of 115 yards and a touchdown.

 He has 15 games with 15+ carries. In those 15 games he averages 93 yards a game and just under one touchdown.

He also has 17 games over 13 carries. In those 13 games, he averages 93 yards a game. If I can be blunt, he can still be a stud. Look at last season’s week 16 game where Hillis rushed for 112 yard against the Ravens 3^rd ranked rush defense.