Over/Under week 3

Awww the weekly decisions of, do I sit Chris Johnson (who I traded away for Dez Bryant and Jermicheal Finley)and start Danny Amendola, or do I take the chance he might get past the line of scrimmage. My rule of thumb, fool me once shame on you. Fool me twice, your traded! My advice this week is, don’t get attached to one player. Every player has his value and league winners don’t “marry” any one player. Every player is always on the trading block, that’s why its fantasy!

OverValued(ESPN Projected Points):

Demarco Murray(17 points):I’m not saying sit him, but I do think he’s overvalued facing the Bucs who rank 6^th in points allowed to RB’s(8.5/game). More importantly is the poor pass defense of the Bucs, meaning the attack will likely be Ariel, not by land and sea.

Steven Ridley(17 points): He has been very serviceable thus far, but let’s face it, the Cardinals and Titans defenses are nowhere near the Ravens caliber. The Ravens have allowed only 1 run over 20 yards this season. Plus Ridley only appeared in only 55% of the Pats offensive plays last week, meaning 20 touches may be unreachable.

BenJarvus Green Ellis(16 points)- Who’s the highest scoring offense in the league? The Redskins! Why does that matter, because in a shootout I look for the Bengals run game to disappear as they try to keep pace with the aggressive skins. Also if you’re banking on a TD, the Redskins are one of 7 teams to have not allowed a rushing TD this season.

Jordy Nelson(14 points)-Without the big plays this year Jordy’s fantasy number have fallen back to earth. The problem for week 3’s matchup is the Seahawks only allow three 20 yard plays a game. With the injury to Jennings, I expect much of the focus to be on Nelson, meaning another lackluster fantasy day.

Undervalued:

Dez Bryant(13 points)- Projected at 3 catches for 71 yards with a TD is very respectable, however I’m sensing a break out game in week 3. The Bucs just got torch by the Giants and have allowed the most 20+ yard pass plays in the league(13). Look for the Cowboys to make a statement at home coming off a sad week 2 lose!

Mike Williams(5 points)-They face a much improved Cowboys pass defense, but are likely to be involved in a shootout. Williams will benefit from the attention being on Jackson and Martin, and will continue to emerge as a viable flex option. 60 yards and a score are very much in reach this week.

Alfred Morris(7 points)- The Bengals average 26.5 points allowed to opposing RB’s this season. Look for Morris to continue to be the bell cow, and be a very comfortable flex start against the “bungles” run defense.

Tony Gonzalez(4 points)- He faces the Chargers, who on paper look like a tough matchup for TE’s. However they allow 14 yards per catch to TE’s and 10 of 14 balls thrown to TE’s have been caught. The Falcons target Gonzo often and should be around 10 points once again.

Quick Hits:

Flex Start-Brandon Gibson- If you’re in need of a flex start, Gibson has big play potential vs. a Bears defense that has allowed 12 plays of 20+yards.

Flex Start-Dexture McCluster- If he’s active, he should get another 8+ targets against a poor Saints pass defense.

Bench-Eric Decker- A very trendy sleeper but not quite the target machine we thought he would be. Until this passing game gets on track, I’d look elsewhere.

Bench -Oakland WR- The name of their game is the deep ball. Well the Steeler are solid in that department allowing only 4 passes of 20+ yards to be completed. There are safer options to fill your flex this week.