Over/Under week 2

So far this season I’ve explained my thought on what makes fantasy players startable or unstartable. We know that each player must have some obvious skill,added into opportunity and a good matchup. One way to gage opportunity is touches, but maybe more important is snaps played. At http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/snapcounts football outsiders track each player’s snaps. This tool will give you an idea of who to play and who to bench.

OverValued: (ESPN Projected Points)

Doug Martin (17 points)- The hype has skyrocketed coming off a 24 carry,95 yard performance. However a key component of the fantasy equation is opportunity, and now they face a top 5 offense in the Giants. I expect the Bucs to play catch-up, putting Martin around the 10-15 carry mark.

Kevin Smith(8 points)-It’s pretty simple, THE 49ERS. They allowed 1 point to the Packers RB’s and ranked first last year it RB points allowed. In a PPR league he could be a low end flex, but I’m staying away.

Shonn Green(16 points)- He had 94 yards on 27 carries in week one vs. the Bills. That’s 3.48 Yards per carry against a defense that allowed 4.8 YPC last season. If that doesn’t prove that Shonn Green is nothing more than an average RB, I don’t know what to say.

Desean Jackson(10 points) and Jeremy Maclin(14 points)- Both receivers are on the injury report and look to be in danger of missing this week’s game. But more important is the struggle of Michael Vick and the superb Ravens defense. I’m staying away if I can.

Underrated:

Justin Blackmon(4 points)- This game looks to be a 10+ point game, meaning the Jags should be throwing late. Blackmon was on the field for 95% of the Offensive snaps, which is the most of any receiver on the roster. With that in mind, the opportunity for targets and catches are very high.

Donald Jones(4 points)- A very sneaky flex play in deeper leagues. He appeared in 95% of the offensive snaps in week one and the injury to David Nelson looks to cement him into the lineup. He now gets the Chief’s defense that was shredded last week by the Falcons. 60+ receiving yards should be obtainable.

Donald Brown(13  points)-Last week he scored 10 points, with 48 yards and 1 Touchdown on only 9 carries. This week they get the Vikings, meaning they can stay committed to the run game as the game should remain competitive. If Brown gets 20 touches, he will be a lock for 100 yards on the ground. He Should be a flex start in almost every league.

Dexter McCluster(3 Points)- He now has eligibility at RB and WR in most leagues and should be used to fill your weak spots. Last week he got 10 targets and appeared in 83% of his team’s snaps, which is more than any other Chiefs RB. He’s a dangerous weapon and always a threat for a big play, meaning he will reward all those gutsy fantasy owners.