It’s that time once again to make those all-important weekly
roster decisions. When making your decisions look at 2 things: How will the game’s
outcome effect your player, and how does the opponent rank in fantasy points
allowed. To elaborate, if you have a RB facing a high powered passing offense,
it might be smart to look elsewhere, as it’s likely they will be playing catch-up.
Also when evaluating fantasy points allowed, it’s important to do your homework,
because early in the season 1 performance could skew the results. Thus far this season im 63% on my over/under picks.
Overrated:
Ryan Matthews (Projected 17 points): Yes, he should see his
workload increase coming off injury, but will he produce at an elite level. To
the naked eye the Chiefs look weak against opposing RB’s, averaging 19 points against.
However, if you take out week two’s rushing explosion of the Bills, the Chiefs
only allow 12.5 points a game. Matthews is still a flex, but if you’re crazy
deep at RB, it wouldn’t hurt to look elsewhere.
BenJarvus Green Ellis(Projected 14 points)- He gets plenty
of touches but the question remains, what will he do with them? Last week he
turned 17 carries into a measly 38 yards, but saved his fantasy day with a goal
line TD. Now he gets an underrated Jaguars rush defense. Yes, they rank 31st
in points allowed to RB’s, but that’s against the Texans and Viking! Against an
average run team like the Colts, they allowed only 3 yards a carry. I see 17
carries times 3 yards a carry
equals sitting on my bench!
Ryan Williams(Projected 13 points)-If you have looked at my
20+ yard chart, this is a very easy call. The Dolphins have a very legit rush defense,
allowing 0 rushes of 20+ yards. They’ve also allowed only 185 rushing yards in
3 games vs. rushing attacks of the Texans, Raiders, and Jets. This rush defense
will have no problem ruining Williams fantasy day.
Santonio Holmes(14 Points): The 49ers pass defense has
allowed only 1 receiving TD to opposing receivers, and that was to pass happy Green
Bay. If it were me, I’d sit any and every Jets offensive player.
Underrated:
Percy Harvin(Projected 8 points): Super obvious name here,
but he is extremely undervalued by ESPN. He has the downside of a WR2 and the
upside of a top 3 receiver. He now gets a Lions Pass defense that just allowed
28 points to the Titans, and Harvin has yet to have less than 80 yards this
season. I see big things this week from a little Harvin.
Jeremy Maclin(Projected 3 points)- If you start him, you must
make sure he starts coming off an injury. If he’s on the field, he should get
plenty of opportunity to warrant a high end flex start. This game will likely
be either a shootout or a game of catch-up. Either way it’s good news for Eagles
wide receivers.
Carson Palmer(Projected 15 Points): Palmer might find
himself in an old fashion shoot out, as his defense has to stop Peyton Manning.
Lucky for Palmer, the Broncos pass defense is poor allowing 19 points per game
and 8 TD’s this season. I look for a 300 yard ,3 TD game in week 4.
Greg Olson- If you’re in need of a TE start, Olsen looks to
be a safe bet. He appears in almost all of his team’s snaps and is coming off a
7 catch for 98 yard game. Also beneficial for Olson is the High powered offense
of his opponent, the Falcons. He likely will repeat last week’s performance and
help fill in for some struggling tight ends.
Defensive starts: I’ve always loved playing the waiver wire
for defenses and these are the defenses I would look to start this week.
Giants: Well the Eagles only have 6 Ints and 6 fumbles in 3 games(insert
sarcasm here!).If you’re shooting for a high scoring defense, this is a gutsy
pick, but could yield high results!
Bengals- If you’re interested in a safe defense, the Bengals
are your guys. They face a poor Jaguars offense that yield an average of 6
points a game to opponents. Plus you never know when Blaine Gabbert will revert
back to his wonderful season-one- self.
